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| (Attribution: Times of India) |
Call it gunboat
diplomacy. Call it imperialism. Call it bullying a weaker country within our “sphere
of influence.” All are accurate descriptions of what occurred on January 3,
2026, when U.S. military forces attacked Venezuela in Caracas, bombed buildings
(including at least one apartment building), killed dozens of Venezuelan
security forces and civilians, and seized Nicolas Maduro and his wife, who were
flown to the United States to face alleged drug trafficking charges.
Many Venezuelans are
understandably happy to see Maduro removed. He was a thug, a corrupt despot who
ruled through repression, and a man who, along with Hugo Chavez before him, destroyed
the Venezuelan economy and caused nearly one-fourth of the country’s citizens to
flee their homeland. But the ends do not justify the means.
First, the attack on Venezuela violated
international law. It was an illegal and unilateral military action against a
nation with which we were not at war, and which had not attacked us. We conducted
the attack without international consultation or support in violation of the rules-based
international order established by the United States and Europe after World War
II. The United Nations Charter, of which the United States was a key architect,
provides that no country may invade or attack another country unless authorized
by the U.N. Security Council or when acting in self-defense. This has been a
bedrock principle of international law for the past 80 years.
As Oona Hathaway, a professor at
Yale Law School and president-elect of the American Society of International
Law, told The New Yorker, “[if] a President can just decide that
a leader is not legitimate and then invade the country and presumably put
someone in power who is favored by the Administration … that’s the end of
international law, that’s the end of the U.N. charter, that’s the end of any
kind of legal limits on the use of force.”
Although the Trump administration
has suggested that the United States must defend itself against drug smugglers,
any claim of self-defense is ludicrous. As the former national director of the
ACLU and Columbia law professor David Cole explained in The New York Review of Books, “self-defense applies only in response to an actual or
imminent armed attack, and whatever else drug smuggling might be, it is not
even conceivably an armed attack.” Venezuela was not at war with the United
States and, whatever the evidence may show with respect to Maduro’s complicity
in smuggling cocaine (which in the case of Venezuela is mostly destined for
Europe), neither Maduro nor the alleged drug smugglers ever engaged in armed
attacks against the United States. As Cole rightly notes, “The only nation with
a self-defense justification here is Venezuela.”
Second, the U.S. military action violated
U.S. law. The U.S. Constitution explicitly reserves to Congress the right to
declare war or authorize military force, and the War Powers Act requires the
president to notify Congress before engaging U.S. troops in military action. Trump
boasted at the press conference following the attack that he neither sought
congressional approval nor consulted in advance with any members of Congress or
the intelligence committees (though he shockingly said the next day that he consulted with oil company executives in advance of the attack). Although this is not the
first time a U.S. president has ordered military action without full congressional
authorization, Trump’s actions here, taken without any congressional consultation,
were brazenly unconstitutional. These are the actions of an oligarchy, not a
democratic republic.
Nor was the attack on Venezuela, as
claimed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a “law enforcement operation” to
arrest Maduro and his wife on the pending drug charges. Invading a country to seize
and remove their leader is an act of war, not law enforcement. Imagine if the United
Kingdom charged Trump with a financial crime and then sent its special forces with
air cover to enter the White House, arrest Trump, and forcibly remove him from
the country. Would anyone consider that a “law enforcement operation”? In any
event, Trump demolished Rubio’s explanation when he stated that the United
States intended to “run the country” indefinitely “until such time as we can do
a safe, proper, and judicious transition.” That sounds to all the world like
regime change, not law enforcement.
Was our illegal military action at
least motivated by noble ideals, like restoring democracy to Venezuela? Unfortunately,
of the conflicting justifications provided by the administration for attacking Venezuela,
restoring democracy was not one of them. Trump dismissed outright any thought
of transitioning Venezuela’s presidency to the popular opposition leader, Nobel
Prize winner Maria Corina Machado, who Trump falsely claimed did not
have the support of the country (her party won the 2024 election illegally
suppressed by Maduro). He instead chose to leave the remaining members of Maduro’s
regime in power if they are willing to “play ball” with
the administration.
Of course, what the
administration means by “play ball” is allowing the United States and its large
multinational corporations to reassert control of Venezuelan oil reserves,
which Trump contends the Venezuelan government “stole” from the United States
decades ago when Venezuela nationalized its oil industry. And, Trump exclaimed,
“we are ready to stage a second and much larger attack if we need to do so,” cementing
his overt imperialistic ambitions.
Thus, Trump’s goal in capturing
Maduro was entirely about “getting back” the oil, and he ordered U.S. military
action for the benefit of fossil fuel executives and an industry that donated heavily to Trump during past elections. By doing so, Trump falsely conflated
U.S. national interests with the private interests of a few select corporations,
whose primary objectives are to maximize profits for their wealthy shareholders.
Trump does not pretend that he
wants to make the world a better place, or improve our alliances, or protect
the stability of international law. He simply wants to assert his power, show how
tough and strong he is, and enrich U.S. billionaires and companies. He holds
our European alliances in disdain. He despises democracy and praises autocracy.
It is why he has always respected and admired people like Vladimir Putin,
Victor Orban, Mohammed bin Salman, Kim Jong Un, and Xi Jinping. He envies the
power wielded by dictators, rejects international law, and refuses to follow the
rules and diplomatic norms that might impede his ability to do whatever he wants.
As White House Deputy Chief of
Staff Stephen Miller told Jake Tapper on CNN on January 5, “We live in a world,
in the real world … that is governed by strength, that is governed by force,
that is governed by power,” he said. “These are the iron laws of the world
since the beginning of time.” According to Miller (and Trump), international law
and treaties that protect the sovereignty and independence of the world’s recognized
nations are merely “international niceties” that mean nothing in the “real
world.” To Trump and Miller, the rule of law be damned. “The United States is using
its military to assert our interests unapologetically in our hemisphere,” said
Miller. “We’re a superpower and under President Trump we are going to conduct
ourselves as a superpower. … The future of the free world depends on America being
able to assert ourselves, our interests, without apology.”
I cannot imagine that any person of
intelligence takes Stephen Miller seriously, but he is a powerful
behind-the-scenes official in the Trump administration with a significant say
over U.S. policy. And Miller, like Trump, believes firmly in a world in which
the United States can overthrow governments with impunity and take control of another
nation’s resources so long as it advances what Trump subjectively believes is
in America’s national interest.
At the January 3 press
conference, Trump invoked the 1823 Monroe Doctrine, which as modified by
President Theodore Roosevelt in 1904, proclaimed U.S. supremacy in the Western
Hemisphere and the right of the United States to militarily intervene into Latin American affairs to ensure stability and maintain regional dominance. In 1936, President Franklin Roosevelt effectively replaced the Monroe
Doctrine with the Good Neighbor Policy, which stressed
non-intervention, mutual respect, and collaboration with Latin American nations
on hemispheric security. The United States in 1948 also co-founded the
Organization of American States, which emphasized shared security and respect
for sovereignty among the nations of North and South America. This approach was
consistent with the post-World War II system of international law designed to
prevent countries from disrespecting the sovereignty of their neighbors and unilaterally
solving conflicts through war.
Welcome to the Trump Doctrine,
which ignores international law and the post-war system of restraints and
alliances, and says to the world that we will do what we want, when we want,
and unless you are powerful enough to stop us, there is nothing you can do
about it. Or, to paraphrase Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, “F--- around and find out” – the FAFO doctrine.
If you think this is hyperbole,
think again. Shortly after attacking Venezuela, Trump warned Colombia’s
president to “watch his ass,” said “we’re going to have to do something in Mexico,”
and Cuba “is ready to fall.” Marco Rubio, who has long called for regime change
in Cuba, said, “If I lived in Havana, and I was in the government, I'd be
concerned - at least a little bit.” When asked by Jake Tapper to rule out U.S.
military force against Greenland, Stephen Miller responded, “Nobody’s going to
fight the United States militarily over the future of Greenland.” Trump has
double- and triple-downed on these statements over the past few days.
Russia and China are paying close
attention. The idea that the world is a place that powerful countries can carve
up to suit their interests fits directly into their worldviews. Countries within their respective
spheres of influence, including Ukraine and Taiwan, are feeling especially uneasy
today. The United States will have little ground to stand on when our
adversaries inevitably flex their muscles to invade or dominate nearby, weaker
nations.
Trump does not read much, and he
knows almost nothing about history. But the world was a more dangerous and
bleaker place when strong countries were able to dominate and exploit weaker
countries at will. Following the bloodbath of World War I, the death of sixty
million people in World War II, and the advent of nuclear weapons, the nations
of the world finally agreed that we needed a rules-based international order to
lessen the likelihood of another world war and the possible destruction of the
planet. The United Nations and other institutions of international diplomacy
have not always succeeded in preventing wars and foreign conflicts, but they
have been crucial to preventing another catastrophic world war.
The one thing on which I agreed
with Trump all these years was his recognition that the U.S. war and subsequent
occupation of Iraq during the first decade of the 21st century was a complete
and utter disaster. Not having a plan for the day after, for Page Two of what
at first appears to be a successful military operation, automatically turns
success into failure. Trump offered no plan for Venezuela beyond our taking
over its oil reserves. I hope for the sake of the Venezuelan people that the
country will soon transition into a vibrant democracy that can protect human
rights and rebuild what was once a robust economy. But I am afraid the odds are
steep. Chaos and instability, civil strife, and further repression are the more
likely outcomes, and even oil companies will have little appetite to invest in
such an environment.
The president’s lawless and brazen decision to go-it-alone in Venezuela, and his mafia-like threats against other nations of the region, including our friends and allies, is a return to the gun boat diplomacy of the Gilded Age, when the strong ruled the weak. Trump loves to assert and project power, and there is no easier way to do so than by waging imperial wars. Unless Congress and the American people reestablish the balance of power and reign in Trump’s lawlessness, international diplomacy and the rule of law will irreparably suffer, powerful oligarchs will rule the world within their “spheres of influence,” and the world will be a darker, more dangerous place.

"In Libya, Obama ordered the intervention that ousted Gadhafi and protected Western oil supplies at minimal financial cost and no U.S. casualties. He did not act unilaterally, but respectfully and appropriately involved our European and NATO allies, an approach that also has served us well in confronting Iran. Indeed, a combination of strict sanctions, diplomacy, and internationally coordinated pressure on Iran has proven far more effective than grandiose threats of war."
ReplyDeleteSo your problem with Trump isn't that he removed a bad guy but that he did it without the help of the (fill in the blank)?
And Trump, in one zero-dark-thirty time span, ended Iran's Obama-funded nuclear weapons pursuit and made Israel and the rest of the Middle East much safer, but, as Red Buttons might say, Mark Ehlers doesn't want to give Trump a dinner.
Interesting.
President Obama’s decision to order air strikes in Libya came after the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution that authorized military intervention in Libya. And the United States acted, not alone, but with the assistance of other NATO countries, including Britain and France. That is a significant distinction from what Trump did in Venezuela, don’t you think?
DeleteThe United States also did not attempt to “run” Libya or take over its oil resources. If there was a mistake made in the Libyan action, it was not having a detailed plan for post-Qhadafi Libya, no “page-two” plan. Obama later acknowledged that the "worst mistake" of his presidency was "probably failing to plan for the day after what I think was the right thing to do in intervening in Libya." Many are rightly concerned about Trump’s lack of a page-two plan in Venezuela (see also the US in Iraq). This is likely why Trump left the same repressive regime in place that he was supposedly against, so long as they “play ball” (in the administration’s words).
Another crucial distinction is that President Obama respected international law and the need for the US to be a responsible member of the international community. The Trump administration respects power and might over everything else. Don’t take my word for it – read their quotes and countless other statements they have made. Aren’t you always lecturing to me that “words matter”? I agree with you. Words matter, and if you are going to defend Trump’s actions, or argue that what occurred was about something other than what Trump himself said it was about, you will have to eat his words or admit he is a liar or doesn’t know what he is talking about.
No one is crying for Maduro. He was a bad guy – good riddance. But Trump would have happily left Maduro in power if he was willing to “play ball.” Rubio used those exact words. Hegseth said, “He eff’ed around and found out.” For months, Trump tried to make a deal with Maduro to give Trump access to the oil, and when he failed to “play ball,” Trump sent in the military. No congressional consultation or approval. No international cooperation or consultation. Just Trump and Hegseth flexing their muscles.
If it was only about getting rid of Maduro, the US would not be “running” the country, would not be talking about “getting back” the oil (that belongs to Venezuela), and would not have left in power Maduro’s entire team, many of which are as bad and repressive as Maduro. The administration would have had a plan to install a more democratic-minded group of leaders (almost impossible to do without international support and cooperation). Instead, Trump rejected the legitimately elected leaders of the country and failed even to pay lip service to the goal of restoring liberal democracy. Trump could not care less who runs Venezuela, so long as we get access to the oil (by his own words).
(cont'd below)
Another night-and-day distinction between President Obama and President Trump is that Obama did not threaten our friends and allies whenever they did things we did not like or disagreed with. Trump threatens our friends almost daily, including Colombia, Mexico, Canada, Greenland, Denmark, you name it. He made oil the issue in Venezuela, but the oil might be beside the point. He is fueled by the spectacle of power and domination. Anyone who refuses to make a deal with him is threatened with force. Thus, the State Department’s recent social media post, “THIS IS OUR HEMISPHERE.” Or, as Rep. Andy Ogles (R-TN) said, “We are the dominant predator force in the Western hemisphere.” All of this is entirely consistent with the Stephen Miller quotes in my essay. These folks are nothing if not transparent.
DeleteAs for Iran, the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) negotiated by the Obama administration was working as intended before Trump walked away from it. It significantly extended Iran's "breakout time" (time to get fissile material for a bomb) from two months to over a year. The agreement established strict IAEA monitoring and inspections, which also were working and were highly effective, and successfully rolled back Iran’s uranium stockpile and enrichment capabilities. This all changed when Trump unilaterally withdrew from the agreement in 2018. Trump's actions predictably caused the deal to collapse and led to Iran gradually re-building its program; Iran’s breakout time was reduced from over a year to two weeks by the time the US/Israel strike occurred. Although the strike set back Iran’s immediate capabilities, we no longer have the inspections and monitoring scheme in place, nor the involvement of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany. As Stephen Miller said, the administration does not respect “international niceties”. They only respect power. It may work some of the time, but the long-term consequences for a peaceful world order are dim.
So Obama's "regime change" was good because he asked permission of a worthless organization whose members include Putin, Jintao, and probably every leader of every country that wants Israel wiped off the face of the earth... not to mention the leaders of Libya and Iran!
ReplyDeleteAnd Trump's move was bad because he acted alone without consulting that rogue's gallery.
Got it.
And Iran is more dangerous with holes where their nuclear sites were than when they were flush with the billions Obama gave them.
Got it.
Please promise me you will never remove or alter one word of your essays so we may always consult them as events unfold.
It's gonna be fun!